BEST PICTURE
Amour
Argo
Beast of the Southern Wild
Django Unchained
Les Miserables
Life of Pi
Lincoln
Silver Lining Playbook
Zero Dark Thirty
9/9: Why 9? That’s my first thought when I look upon the nominees this year for Best Picture. I’m so annoyed that the Academy changed their number of nominees for this category from the traditional five. It used to be fun to predict who would get nominated but now I don’t even know what the total count will be. I wish the Academy would grow some balls and return to five nominee process because more is not better. As for the nine this year, I am pretty happy. I believe all of them are deserving of the award. The weakest of the nine would be Django Unchained followed by Les Miserable.
Who will win: Argo. It just has too much momentum; it’s winning everything right now. I liked the film very much but I don’t think it’s the best film of the year. I think there are four others on this list more deserving but I won’t be upset when it wins.
Who should win: Beasts of the Southern Wild. This is such a magical and poetic film, for me it’s a miracle of storytelling. It won’t win because it’s too different but I truly believe it will stand the test of time. A possible upset though that I’d love to see is Amour winning, which in many ways is equally as good as Beasts of the Southern Wild. It could happen.
BEST DIRECTOR
"Amour" Michael Haneke
"Beasts of the Southern Wild" Benh Zeitlin
"Life of Pi" Ang Lee
"Lincoln" Steven Spielberg
"Silver Linings Playbook" David O. Russell
5/5: Unfortunately everyone is making too big of a deal that Ben Affleck wasn’t nominated. Whoever wins will have to endure a cloud of doubt and that’s not fair because all of the nominees deserve the respect. I don’t have a problem that Affleck wasn’t nominated and in fact think Bigleow was more of a snub.
Who will win: Steven Spielberg. The Lincoln director is too popular not to win. The Academy will want to reward him for making his dream project a reality.
Who should win: Michael Haneke. I had a hard time picking between Mr. Haneke and Mr. Lee. Lee created a visual stunning film based on a book that many thought was un-filmable. It’s a stunning accomplishment of cinema and he should be rewarded for it. The problem is Haneke’s film, while not as technically challenging, is incredible. Sometimes it’s more difficult to produce something small and subtle than something huge and loud.
BEST ACTOR
Bradley Cooper in "Silver Linings Playbook"
Daniel Day-Lewis in "Lincoln"
Hugh Jackman in "Les Misérables"
Joaquin Phoenix in "The Master"
Denzel Washington in "Flight"
4/5: I haven’t seen The Master yet so I can only focus on the others. Yet it doesn’t really matter because everyone knows who will win. Did anyone get snubbed this year? Maybe John Hawkes for The Sessions but I don’t know who you’d knock off to get him nominated.
Who will and should win: Daniel Day-Lewis. The man became Lincoln. He has it in the bag. The only performance that’s in the same league is Hugh Jackman’s. But it’s no contest.
BEST ACTRESS
Jessica Chastain in "Zero Dark Thirty"
Jennifer Lawrence in "Silver Linings Playbook"
Emmanuelle Riva in "Amour"
Quvenzhané Wallis in "Beasts of the Southern Wild"
Naomi Watts in "The Impossible"
4/5: I haven’t seen Naomi Watts in The Impossible yet but I found all the other performances worthy. There are those who felt Miss Wallis was too young to be nominated but I disagree. You can’t deny her performance is one of the best of the year; she was electric. The only potential snub that I can think of is Marion Cotillard in Rust and Bone. Yet I haven’t seen it so I can only speculate.
Who will and should win: Jennifer Lawrence. Emmanuelle Riva could win too and if Jennifer doesn’t Emmanuelle should. I decided the Academy would choose to reward the performance based on the creation of a character over the mimicking of an ailment. Both are brilliant but Miss Lawrence has the edge.
BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR
Alan Arkin in "Argo"
Robert De Niro in "Silver Linings Playbook"
Philip Seymour Hoffman in "The Master"
Tommy Lee Jones in "Lincoln"
Christoph Waltz in "Django Unchained
4/5: This is the first category where I think someone was overlooked. Samuel L. Jackson was razor-sharp good in Django Unchained. I’d take out Alan Arkin off this list. He’s becoming the most overrated nominee of late; he is basically playing the same character over and over again.
Who will and should win: Christoph Waltz. I’m not a hundred percent on this one. Philip Seymour Hoffman could win too but I haven’t seen The Master so I’m not sure. Tommy Lee Jones was also excellent but I don’t see him winning.
BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS
Amy Adams in "The Master"
Sally Field in "Lincoln"
Anne Hathaway in "Les Misérables"
Helen Hunt in "The Sessions"
Jacki Weaver in "Silver Linings Playbook"
3/5: There weren’t that many great supporting performances this year for women. Sally Field worked her ass off playing Mrs. Lincoln to get her nomination having been absent from the Oscar stage since the ‘80s while Jacki Weaver gets nominated a second time a year later.
Who will and should win: Anne Hathaway. Not only did she play Catwoman this year but she sang her heart out in the most memorable scene of a movie musical ever. She’s the clear favorite and only Mrs. Field could steal the Oscar from her.
"Amour" Written by Michael Haneke
"Django Unchained" Written by Quentin Tarantino
"Flight" Written by John Gatins
"Moonrise Kingdom" Written by Wes Anderson & Roman Coppola
"Zero Dark Thirty" Written by Mark Boal
5/5: I’m so glad Moonrise Kingdom made the cut. This is a good collection of creative work. The weakest of the group would be Flight.
Who will win: Mark Boal will win for Zero Dark Thirty. The man tackled a controversial topic and showed the complexities of CIA research without being boring.
Who should win: the guys of Moonrise Kingdom. I just loved that quirky film and would love to see it win.
BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY
"Argo" Screenplay by Chris Terrio
"Beasts of the Southern Wild" Screenplay by Lucy Alibar & Benh Zeitlin
"Life of Pi" Screenplay by David Magee
"Lincoln" Screenplay by Tony Kushner
"Silver Linings Playbook" Screenplay by David O. Russell
5/5: Another collection of great nominees where I don’t think anyone was snubbed.
Who will and should win: Tony Kushner for Lincoln. The screenplay is flawless. Argo could upset but I don’t think so, Mr. Kushner is too important of a writer to be bypassed.
BEST ANIMATED FILM
"Brave" Mark Andrews and Brenda Chapman
"Frankenweenie" Tim Burton
"ParaNorman" Sam Fell and Chris Butler
"The Pirates! Band of Misfits" Peter Lord
"Wreck-It Ralph" Rich Moore
3/5: Can Pixar win again? Was Dreamworks snubbed? Will Tim Burton win his first Oscar? The only snub I can think of was Hotel Transylvania from Sony.
Who will and should win: Brave. The only one that can knock Pixar’s visually superior fantasy off the stage is Wreck-It Ralph. I didn’t see it but I know it’s won a few awards recently. It will be a close one.
BEST ORIGINAL SCORE
"Anna Karenina" Dario Marianelli
“Argo" Alexandre Desplat
“Life of Pi" Mychael Danna
"Lincoln" John Williams
"Skyfall" Thomas Newman
4/5: The music for Beast of the Southern Wild was more deserving than Skyfall but I guess the Bond Franchise needed it more. I do like all the new names though.
Who will win: John Williams for Lincoln. It’s been a long time since John Williams won one of these (I think it was Schindler’s List) and I think he’ll take it this year.
Who should win: Mychael Danna for Life of Pi. It’s a great score and the one I remember the most.
BEST VISUAL EFFECTS
"The Hobbit: An Unexpected Journey" Joe Letteri, Eric Saindon, David Clayton and R. Christopher White
"Life of Pi" Bill Westenhofer, Guillaume Rocheron, Erik-Jan De Boer and Donald R. Elliott
"Marvel's The Avengers" Janek Sirrs, Jeff White, Guy Williams and Dan Sudick
"Prometheus" Richard Stammers, Trevor Wood, Charley Henley and Martin Hill
"Snow White and the Huntsman" Cedric Nicolas-Troyan, Philip Brennan, Neil Corbould and Michael Dawson
5/5: Superheros, Hobbits, a Tiger, an Evil Queen and Aliens: with five nominations it seems every kind of special effect is represented. I’m glad there were five nominees for this catergory this year, instead of three. I can’t think of a snub.
Who will win: The Avengers. I’m guessing the popular Superhero film showing the destruction of New York will win out. But I wouldn’t be shocked to see Prometheus win either.
Who should win: Life of Pi. I hope this one wins; it was visually amazing. They created a real looking Tiger for Christ sakes.
BEST ART DIRECTION
"Anna Karenina" Production Design: Sarah Greenwood; Set Decoration: Katie Spencer
"The Hobbit: An Unexpected Journey" Production Design: Dan Hennah; Set Decoration: Ra Vincent and Simon Bright
"Les Misérables" Production Design: Eve Stewart; Set Decoration: Anna Lynch-Robinson
"Life of Pi" Production Design: David Gropman; Set Decoration: Anna Pinnock
"Lincoln" Production Design: Rick Carter; Set Decoration: Jim Erickson
4/5: I don’t know what to say about this one. All of them are classic examples of fine art direction. I haven’t seen Anna Karenina but I’m certain it deserves the nomination. Of all the films I’ve seen this year there aren’t any that stick out as being snub except maybe The Dark Knight Rises.
Who will and should win: Lincoln. It was pretty obvious that Spielberg found the best.
BEST COSTUMES
"Anna Karenina" Jacqueline Durran
"Les Misérables" Paco Delgado
"Lincoln" Joanna Johnston
"Mirror Mirror" Eiko Ishioka
"Snow White and the Huntsman" Colleen Atwood 2/5: Not bad at all. I’m happy with this one.
3/5: I haven’t seen Anna Karenina yet but from the pictures it looks amazing. Mirror Mirror, which I also haven’t seen, seems to have been nominated for being playful.
Who will win: Lincoln. I’m guessing Lincoln is going to sweep these kind of awards. It was visually impressive and seemed accurate.
BEST EDITING
"Argo" William Goldenberg
"Life of Pi" Tim Squyres
"Lincoln" Michael Kahn
"Silver Linings Playbook" Jay Cassidy and Crispin Struthers
"Zero Dark Thirty" Dylan Tichenor and William Goldenberg
5/5: A good list of nominees. No snubs that I can think of.
Who will win: Argo. Since it will win Best Picture I’m pretty certain it will take home this one too.
Who should win: Zero Dark Thirty. It’s a complicated film that never lets off the gas, increasing emotional intensity throughout. I’d pick this one if I were voting.
BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY
"Anna Karenina" Seamus McGarvey
"Django Unchained" Robert Richardson
"Life of Pi" Claudio Miranda
"Lincoln" Janusz Kaminski
"Skyfall" Roger Deakins
4/5: Nothing much to say, I even think Skyfall deserves a spot.
Who will win: Lincoln.
Who should win: Life of Pi
BEST DOCUMENTARY
"5 Broken Cameras" Emad Burnat and Guy Davidi
"The Gatekeepers" Nominees to be determined
"How to Survive a Plague" Nominees to be determined
"The Invisible War" Nominees to be determined
"Searching for Sugar Man" Nominees to be determined
3/5: I tried to watch at least 4 of these but Searching for Sugar Man was a long wait on Netflix. The Gatekeepers is out in theaters but I wasn’t able to check it out. So I’m left with three others.
Who
will and should win: How to Survive a Plague.
While The Invisible War addresses an issue that’s more important it’s this
one about the fight for AIDS that seems better made.
BEST
FOREIGN LANGUAGE FILM
"Amour" Austria"Kon-Tiki" Norway
"No" Chile
"A Royal Affair" Denmark
"War Witch" Canada
1/5: I’ll have to watch these throughout the year because most of them haven’t been released yet. This is another pet peeve I have: if a foreign film is nominated for an Oscar, whoever has the International distribution rights needs to get it into U.S. theaters as soon as possible so we can see them. It seems like a smart business decision too. Get it into the theater while everyone is talking about it.
Who
will win: Amour. It’s nominated for
Best Picture so it seems pretty straight forward.
BEST MAKEUP AND HAIRSTYLING
"Hitchcock" Howard Berger, Peter Montagna and Martin Samuel
"The Hobbit: An Unexpected Journey" Peter Swords King, Rick Findlater and Tami Lane
"Les Misérables" Lisa Westcott and Julie Dartnell
2/3: I haven’t seen Hitchcock but I’m not impressed by the poster so I don’t know if I like it was nominated. So it’s between a fantasy or a musical.
Who
will and should win: The Hobbit. A year that a Tolkien film doesn’t get at
least one Oscar would be strange.
BEST
ORIGINAL SONG
"Before My Time" from "Chasing
Ice" Music and Lyric by J. Ralph"Everybody Needs A Best Friend" from "Ted" Music by Walter Murphy; Lyric by Seth MacFarlane
"Pi's Lullaby" from "Life of Pi" Music by Mychael Danna; Lyric by Bombay Jayashri
"Skyfall" from "Skyfall" Music and Lyric by Adele Adkins and Paul Epworth
"Suddenly" from "Les Misérables" Music by Claude-Michel Schönberg; Lyric by Herbert Kretzmer and Alain Boublil
3/5: Ted arrived from Netflix this afternoon but I’m sure I won’t be able to watch it before the Oscars. It seems like a good list of candidates and I can’t think of any songs snubbed.
Who
will and should win: Skyfall. Everyone loves Adele and it is the best Bond
song in a long time.
BEST
SOUND EDITING
"Argo" Erik Aadahl and Ethan Van der
Ryn"Django Unchained" Wylie Stateman
"Life of Pi" Eugene Gearty and Philip Stockton
"Skyfall" Per Hallberg and Karen Baker Landers
"Zero Dark Thirty" Paul N.J. Ottosson
5/5: The usual suspects for Sound except for Batman being snubbed, those bastards. I guess Django Unchained was nominated because of the soundtrack. Oh well.
Who will and should win: Zero Dark Thirty. I could see Skyfall winning this too but I’m going for the more respected “controversial” film.
BEST
SOUND MIXING
"Argo" John Reitz, Gregg Rudloff and
Jose Antonio Garcia"Les Misérables" Andy Nelson, Mark Paterson and Simon Hayes
"Life of Pi" Ron Bartlett, D.M. Hemphill and Drew Kunin
"Lincoln" Andy Nelson, Gary Rydstrom and Ronald Judkins
"Skyfall" Scott Millan, Greg P. Russell and Stuart Wilson
5/5: All deserving but I think The Dark Knight Rises was snubbed.
Who
will win: Les Miserables. I’m picking this one because it has singing
in it and mixing that with the music would be a challenge.
For
all the shorts, I haven’t seen any so I’m only going to guess. And I don’t have much time to do the kind of
research I’ve done in the past so I wouldn’t use my picks for any office
pools. I am excited to see though that
some theaters in the area are showing the nominated shorts. I’m going to have to check them out next
year.
BEST
DOCUMENTARY SHORT SUBJECT
"Inocente" Sean Fine and Andrea Nix
Fine"Kings Point" Sari Gilman and Jedd Wider
"Mondays at Racine" Cynthia Wade and Robin Honan
"Open Heart" Kief Davidson and Cori Shepherd Stern
"Redemption" Jon Alpert and Matthew O'Neill
My guess: Mondays at Racine. I’ve actually heard about Redemption but this one is about cancer so it’s going to win.
BEST
ANIMATED SHORT FILM
"Adam and Dog" Minkyu Lee"Fresh Guacamole" PES
"Head over Heels" Timothy Reckart and Fodhla Cronin O'Reilly
"Maggie Simpson in "The Longest Daycare"" David Silverman
"Paperman" John Kahrs
My guess: Paperman. From images on line it looks great and fun.
BEST
LIVE ACTION SHORT FILM
"Asad" Bryan Buckley and Mino
Jarjoura"Buzkashi Boys" Sam French and Ariel Nasr
"Curfew" Shawn Christensen
"Death of a Shadow (Dood van een Schaduw)" Tom Van Avermaet and Ellen De Waele
"Henry" Yan England
My guess: Curfew. No reason, it’s just a guess.
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